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GBP USD Technical Analysis - GBP USD Trading: 2025-01-09
GBP/USD Technical Analysis Summary
Below 1.2301
Sell Stop
Above 1.2526
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Sell |
| Donchian Channel | Sell |
| MA(200) | Sell |
| Fractals | Neutral |
| Parabolic SAR | Sell |
GBP/USD Chart Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
The GBPUSD technical analysis of the price chart on 4-hour timeframe shows GBPUSD, H4 is retreating under the 200-period moving average MA(200) after latest test of MA(200) three weeks ago. We believe the bearish movement will continue after the price breaches below the lower bound of the Donchian channel at 1.2301. A level below this can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 1.2526. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved to the next fractal high indicator, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level without reaching the order, we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Forex - GBP/USD
UK’s British Retail Consortium (BRC) reported its index of retail prices continued declining in December. Will the GBPUSD price retreat presist?
UK’s British Retail Consortium (BRC) reported the decline of the index of prices of goods purchased at BRC-member retail stores accelerated in December: the BRC Shop Price Index dropped 1.0% over year after 0.6% fall in November, when a 0.4% decline was forecast. Price drops were accredited to Black Friday discounts. Non-food prices fell at the fastest pace since April 2021: at 2.4% in December after 1.8% decline in November. Food inflation was steady in December at 1.8% - lowest rate since December 2021. However, the British Retail Consortium warned retail prices will likely be higher in 2025. Continuing decline in BRC Shop Price Index indicates weakening demand for consumer goods at BRC shops which is bearish for Pound and GBPUSD pair price.
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